Home Sectors Consumer Cyclical Long or Short: Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ: SCVL)

Long or Short: Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ: SCVL)


Shoe Carnival trades as part of the retail apparel and specialty industry and trades as part of the consumer cyclical sector. The company CEO is Clifton E. Sifford. Shoe Carnival Inc is a family footwear retailer that offers a range of moderately priced dress, casual and athletic footwear for men, women and children. Its store has several brands; Nike and Skechers contributing the majority portion.

Previous Intraday Trading Performance:

The SCVL stock showed a previous change of 4.28% with an open at 25.69 and a close of 26.58. It reached an intraday high of 26.71 and a low of 25.69.

Business Wire:  Shoe Carnival to Present at the Jefferies 2019 Consumer Conference


The stock has a market cap of $390.5m with 14.7m shares outstanding, of which the float is 10.8m shares. Trading volume reached 367,965 shares compared to its average volume of 448,462 shares. Based on the current average volume and close price, the trading liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Historical Trading Performance:

Over the last five trading days, Shoe Carnival shares returned 5.85% and in the past 30 trading days it returned -25.59%. Over three months, it changed -18.54%. In one year it has changed -18.98% and within that year its 52-week high was 45.00 and its 52-week low was 23.98. SCVL stock is 10.84% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations show a 200 day moving average of 35.78 and a 50 day moving average of 31.89. Currently SCVL stock is trading -25.72% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a good opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

Business Wire:  Shoe Carnival to Present at the Jefferies 2019 Consumer Conference


The last annual fiscal EPS for the company was reported at 2.44 that ended on 31st of January 2019, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 10.89. Based on 2 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.75. The TTM EPS is 1.84, which comes to a TTM PE of 14.45. Historically, the PE high was 39.10 and the PE low was 10.89. If the stock reached its PE low, that would represent a price of 20.04, which is a decrease of -24.61%.

Below was the last reported quarterly diluted earnings per share:

Apr19 (Reported on 05/22/2019): 0.91
Jan19 (Reported on 03/26/2019): 0.09
Oct18 (Reported on 11/15/2018): 0.76
Jul18 (Reported on 08/28/2018): 0.76
Apr18 (Reported on 05/24/2018): 0.83

The dividend per share is currently 0.32, which is a dividend yield of 1.20%. Also, the payout ratio is 17.39%, therefore the dividend is safe according to our calculations.

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 26.24, which means it may be overvalued by -1.30%.

Indicators to Watch:

The current calculated beta is 1.02.

SeekingAlpha:  Plexus Corp. 2019 Q2 – Results – Earnings Call Slides

Fundamental Indicators:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 13.67%, return on assets is 7.62%, profit margin is 3.77%, price-to-sales is 0.36 and price-to-book is 1.29.

Company Scores:

All scores are out of six:
 2  :Valuation Score
 4  :Past Performance Score
 6  :Financial Strength Score
 1  :Future Growth Score
 1  :Dividend Score
 2  :Overall Score

John Jones
Worked for several Wall Street firms: Salomon Smith Barney, UBS, and Charles Schwab. Has developed skills and gained extensive experience over the years that is used today to uncover winning penny stocks.Also was an attorney for small businesses in Scottsdale, Arizona. That experience and understanding of law provides a unique perspective and edge in discovering quality companies in various industries.