Home Sectors Consumer Cyclical Technicals and Fundamentals: Guess? (NYSE: GES)

Technicals and Fundamentals: Guess? (NYSE: GES)


Guess? is part of the consumer cyclical sector and retail apparel and specialty industry. The company CEO is Carlos Alberini. Guess? Inc designs, markets, distributes and licenses a lifestyle collection of contemporary apparel and accessories for men, women and children that reflects the American lifestyle and European fashion sensibilities.

Previous Intraday Trading Performance:

The GES stock showed a previous change of 1.42% with an open at 22.59 and a close of 22.92. It reached an intraday high of 23.08 and a low of 22.43.

Business Wire:  Guess?, Inc. to Webcast Conference Call on Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2019 Financial Results


The stock has a market cap of $1.9b with 81.0m shares outstanding, of which the float is 79.4m shares. Trading volume reached 679,478 shares compared to its average volume of 717,634 shares. Based on the current average volume and close price, the trading liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Historical Trading Performance:

Over the last five trading days, Guess? shares returned 3.20% and in the past 30 trading days it returned 18.14%. Over three months, it changed 5.91%. In one year it has changed 60.18% and within that year its 52-week high was 26.95 and its 52-week low was 14.41. GES stock is 59.06% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations show a 200 day moving average of 21.62 and a 50 day moving average of 21.34. Currently GES stock is trading 6.00% above its 200 day moving average.

Business Wire:  Guess?, Inc. to Webcast Conference Call on Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2019 Financial Results


The last annual fiscal EPS for the company was reported at -0.11 that ended on 31st of January 2018. Based on 3 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.53. The TTM EPS is 0.69, which comes to a TTM PE of 33.22.

The following are the last four quarter reported earnings per share:
10-31-2018:  0.13
07-31-2018:  0.36
04-30-2018:  -0.23
01-31-2018:  0.62

The dividend per share is currently 0.90, which is a dividend yield of 3.93%.

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 23.68, which means it is possibly undervalued and has a margin of safety of 3.21%

Indicators to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 126.40% of institutional ownership. Short-interest is 3,750,918, which is 4.63% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio is 4.08. This stock has some short interest, but it may be normal and no cause for concern if long the position.

The current calculated beta is 0.23

SeekingAlpha:  Griffon beats by $0.14, misses on revenue

Fundamental Indicators:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is -1.03%, return on assets is -0.56%, profit margin is -0.47%, price-to-sales is 1.07 and price-to-book is 2.24.

Company Scores:

All scores are out of six:
 0  :Valuation Score
 0  :Past Performance Score
 4  :Financial Strength Score
 3  :Future Growth Score
 5  :Dividend Score
 2  :Overall Score

John Jones
Worked for several Wall Street firms: Salomon Smith Barney, UBS, and Charles Schwab. Has developed skills and gained extensive experience over the years that is used today to uncover winning penny stocks.Also was an attorney for small businesses in Scottsdale, Arizona. That experience and understanding of law provides a unique perspective and edge in discovering quality companies in various industries.