Home Sectors Consumer Cyclical Current Valuation: Express (NYSE: EXPR)

Current Valuation: Express (NYSE: EXPR)


Express is in the consumer cyclical sector and retail apparel and specialty industry. The company CEO is Matthew C. Moellering. Express, is a specialty retailer company in apparel and related. It serves both both women’s and men’s merchandise. The company operates in Express brick-and-mortar retail stores and e-commerce operations.

Previous Intraday Trading Performance:

The EXPR stock showed a previous change of -10.12% with an open at 4.42 and a close of 4.53. It reached an intraday high of 4.96 and a low of 4.28.

SeekingAlpha:  Express, Inc. (EXPR) CEO David Kornberg on Q4 2018 Results – Earnings Call Transcript


The stock has a market cap of $310.4m with 68.5m shares outstanding, of which the float is 63.2m shares. Trading volume reached 8,112,781 shares compared to its average volume of 1,725,556 shares. Based on the current average volume and close price, the trading liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Historical Trading Performance:

Over the last five trading days, Express shares returned -8.85% and in the past 30 trading days it returned -15.64%. Over three months, it changed -20.39%. In one year it has changed -38.45% and within that year its 52-week high was 11.69 and its 52-week low was 4.28. EXPR stock is 5.84% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations show a 200 day moving average of 8.19 and a 50 day moving average of 5.25. Currently EXPR stock is trading -44.66% below its 200 day moving average and may not be a good opportunity to buy as it may continue to trend down.

SeekingAlpha:  Express, Inc. 2018 Q4 – Results – Earnings Call Slides


The last annual fiscal EPS for the company was reported at 0.26 that ended on 31st of January 2018, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 17.42. Based on 3 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.32. The TTM EPS is 0.36, which comes to a TTM PE of 12.58. Historically, the PE high was 25.60 and the PE low was 7.20. If the stock reached its PE low, that would represent a price of 2.59, which is a decrease of -42.77%.

The following are the last four quarter reported earnings per share:
01-31-2019:  0.16 (estimated)
10-31-2018:  0.11
07-31-2018:  0.03
04-30-2018:  0.01

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 2.31, which means it may be overvalued by -96.14%

Indicators to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 171.80% of institutional ownership. Short-interest is 16,282,852, which is 23.76% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio is 11.57. This stock has a high level of short interest and may fall in value in the near term.

The current calculated beta is 1.10

SeekingAlpha:  PDD, EXPR and ZTO among premarket losers

Fundamental Indicators:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 6.26%, return on assets is 3.19%, profit margin is 0.72%, price-to-sales is 0.23 and price-to-book is 0.57.

Company Scores:

All scores are out of six:
 3  :Valuation Score
 2  :Past Performance Score
 6  :Financial Strength Score
 0  :Future Growth Score
 0  :Dividend Score
 2  :Overall Score

John Jones
Worked for several Wall Street firms: Salomon Smith Barney, UBS, and Charles Schwab. Has developed skills and gained extensive experience over the years that is used today to uncover winning penny stocks.Also was an attorney for small businesses in Scottsdale, Arizona. That experience and understanding of law provides a unique perspective and edge in discovering quality companies in various industries.