Home Sectors Consumer Cyclical Latest Valuation: Steven Madden (NASDAQ: SHOO)

Latest Valuation: Steven Madden (NASDAQ: SHOO)


Steven Madden is part of the manufacturing apparel and furniture industry and is part of the consumer cyclical sector. The company CEO is Edward R. Rosenfeld. Steven Madden designs, markets and sells fashion-forward name brand and private label footwear for women, men and children and name brand and private label fashion handbags and accessories.

Previous Intraday Trading Performance:

The SHOO stock showed a previous change of -0.19% with an open at 32.49 and a close of 32.44. It reached an intraday high of 32.85 and a low of 32.19.

SeekingAlpha:  Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) CEO Ed Rosenfeld on Q4 2018 Results – Earnings Call Transcript


The stock has a market cap of $2.8b with 87.5m shares outstanding, of which the float is 81.7m shares. Trading volume reached 416,708 shares compared to its average volume of 615,639 shares. Based on the current average volume and close price, the trading liquidity is bad, highly speculative and an investor may want to avoid this stock.

Historical Trading Performance:

Over the last five trading days, Steven Madden shares returned -3.16% and in the past 30 trading days it returned 1.19%. Over three months, it changed 12.20%. In one year it has changed 11.92% and within that year its 52-week high was 39.30 and its 52-week low was 27.88. SHOO stock is 16.36% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations show a 200 day moving average of 33.75 and a 50 day moving average of 32.33. Currently SHOO stock is trading -3.88% below its 200 day moving average and may be a good opportunity to buy, but should check other indicators to confirm a buy signal.

SeekingAlpha:  Steve Madden +5% on earnings beat


The last annual fiscal EPS for the company was reported at 1.37 that ended on 31st of December 2017, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 23.68. Based on 6 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 0.38. The TTM EPS is 1.84, which comes to a TTM PE of 17.63. Historically, the PE high was 25.40 and the PE low was 14.20. If the stock reached its PE low, that would represent a price of 26.13, which is a decrease of -19.46%.

The following are the last four quarter reported earnings per share:
12-31-2018:  0.42
09-30-2018:  0.65
06-30-2018:  0.41
03-31-2018:  0.36

The dividend per share is currently 0.56, which is a dividend yield of 1.73%. Also, the payout ratio is 30.43%, therefore the dividend is safe according to our calculations.

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 61.30, which means it is possibly undervalued and has a margin of safety of 47.08%

Indicators to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 9.90% of insider ownership and 145.30% of institutional ownership. Short-interest is 0, which is 0.00% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio is 0.00.

The current calculated beta is 0.57

SeekingAlpha:  Steven Madden beats by $0.04, beats on revenue

Fundamental Indicators:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 17.05%, return on assets is 12.86%, profit margin is 9.49%, price-to-sales is 2.29 and price-to-book is 3.64.

Company Scores:

All scores are out of six:
 2  :Valuation Score
 3  :Past Performance Score
 6  :Financial Strength Score
 2  :Future Growth Score
 3  :Dividend Score
 3  :Overall Score

John Jones
Worked for several Wall Street firms: Salomon Smith Barney, UBS, and Charles Schwab. Has developed skills and gained extensive experience over the years that is used today to uncover winning penny stocks.Also was an attorney for small businesses in Scottsdale, Arizona. That experience and understanding of law provides a unique perspective and edge in discovering quality companies in various industries.