Home Sectors Consumer Cyclical Current Change: Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL)

Current Change: Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL)


Toll Brothers is in the consumer cyclical sector and is in the homebuilding and construction industry. The company CEO is Douglas C. Yearley. Toll Brothers Inc is a luxury homebuilder in the United States. The company caters to move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. It also builds luxury for-sale and for-rent properties in urban centers, primarily on the East Coast.

Previous Intraday Trading Performance:

The TOL stock showed a previous change of -0.85% with an open at 35.68 and a close of 35.03. It reached an intraday high of 35.80 and a low of 34.67.

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The stock has a market cap of $5.1b with 145.5m shares outstanding, of which the float is 136.7m shares. Trading volume reached 2,188,219 shares compared to its average volume of 3,829,835 shares. Based on the current average volume and close price, the trading liquidity is good.

Historical Trading Performance:

Over the last five trading days, Toll Brothers shares returned 4.69% and in the past 30 trading days it returned 7.45%. Over three months, it changed 8.16%. In one year it has changed -31.78% and within that year its 52-week high was 52.73 and its 52-week low was 28.68. TOL stock is 22.14% above its 52 Week Low.

Our calculations show a 200 day moving average of 36.58 and a 50 day moving average of 32.51. Currently TOL stock is trading -4.24% below its 200 day moving average and may be a good opportunity to buy, but should check other indicators to confirm a buy signal.

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The last annual fiscal EPS for the company was reported at 4.85 that ended on 31st of October 2018, which according to the previous close, that is a PE of 7.22. Based on 7 analyst estimates, the consensus EPS for the next quarter is 1.82. The TTM EPS is 4.76, which comes to a TTM PE of 7.36. Historically, the PE high was 41.20 and the PE low was 7.22. If the stock reached its PE low, that would represent a price of 34.38, which is a decrease of -1.87%.

The following are the last four quarter reported earnings per share:
10-31-2018:  2.08
07-31-2018:  1.26
04-30-2018:  0.79
01-31-2018:  0.63

The dividend per share is currently 0.44, which is a dividend yield of 1.26%. Also, the payout ratio is 9.24%, therefore the dividend is safe according to our calculations.

Base on our calculations, the intrinsic value per share is 64.22, which means it is possibly undervalued and has a margin of safety of 45.45%

Indicators to Watch:

Based on the latest filings, there is 136.60% of institutional ownership. Short-interest is 6,338,750, which is 4.36% of shares outstanding. The short-interest ratio or days-to-cover ratio is 1.44. This stock has some short interest, but it may be normal and no cause for concern if long the position.

The current calculated beta is 0.98

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Fundamental Indicators:

Based on last reported financials, the company’s return on equity is 16.30%, return on assets is 7.69%, profit margin is 10.72%, price-to-sales is 0.72 and price-to-book is 1.01.

Company Scores:

All scores are out of six:
 5  :Valuation Score
 5  :Past Performance Score
 3  :Financial Strength Score
 0  :Future Growth Score
 2  :Dividend Score
 3  :Overall Score

John Jones
Worked for several Wall Street firms: Salomon Smith Barney, UBS, and Charles Schwab. Has developed skills and gained extensive experience over the years that is used today to uncover winning penny stocks.Also was an attorney for small businesses in Scottsdale, Arizona. That experience and understanding of law provides a unique perspective and edge in discovering quality companies in various industries.